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The idea that the United Nations (UN) could split Ukraine 50-50 for Russia in 2025 is highly unlikely and speculative for several reasons:

### 1. **Lack of Authority and Mandate**

The UN does not have the authority to forcibly divide sovereign nations or draw new borders without the consent of the countries involved. While the UN can broker peace negotiations and facilitate agreements, it cannot unilaterally partition a country. This would require the agreement of both Ukraine and Russia, which is improbable given the deep-rooted conflict and mutual distrust.

### 2. **Ukraine’s Stance on Sovereignty**

Ukraine has consistently stated that it will not cede any of its territory to Russia. President Volodymyr Zelensky has emphasized Ukraine’s commitment to restoring its full territorial integrity, including Crimea and the Donbas. A forced division of the country would go against Ukraine's own objectives and would likely face strong resistance both politically and militarily from Ukrainians.

### 3. **International Law and Precedents**

Any attempt to split Ukraine in such a manner would violate international law and set a dangerous precedent for global geopolitics. The principle of territorial integrity is a cornerstone of international law, and redrawing borders without consent would destabilize the region further, potentially encouraging other nations to pursue similar aggressive tactics.

### 4. **Diplomatic and Geopolitical Ramifications**

A 50-50 division would not only face pushback from Ukraine but also from its Western allies, including the U.S. and European Union, who have backed Ukraine's sovereignty since the start of the conflict. Such a move could also undermine the credibility of international institutions like the UN, prompting a backlash that could lead to greater global instability.

### 5. **Potential Frameworks for Peace Talks**

While the UN and other international actors might support peace negotiations, the framework would likely focus on finding a diplomatic solution that respects Ukraine's borders, perhaps with some regional autonomy or special status for contested areas. A complete division of the country would not align with the principles of current diplomatic efforts.

In summary, while peace negotiations facilitated by the UN or other international bodies may occur, a 50-50 split of Ukraine for Russia is highly implausible due to legal, political, and geopolitical constraints. Such an outcome would face overwhelming opposition from Ukraine, the West, and likely a significant portion of the international community.